BY
LEE MEIXIAN
Imminent room shortage at hotels? Chesterton
says there appears to be no attempt to alleviate the looming shortage
of hotel rooms, and that no new hotel sites were released under the 2014
government land sales programme. - FILE PHOTO
PROPERTY consultant Chesterton is again calling for the government to release more hotel sites.
Hotels
in Singapore have been enjoying high occupancies (85.5 per cent from
January to July this year) and average room rates (S$256.10 per room per
night over the same period), which should trigger supply, and yet,
according to Chesterton, there appears to be no attempt by the
authorities to alleviate the looming shortage of hotel rooms.
"Rather, the authorities seem to be tightening the supply flow," it said in an exclusive report to BT.
For one thing, no new hotel sites were released under the 2014 government land sales programme at all, Chesterton said.
For
another, from July, the Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) has
tightened approval of new development applications for hotels, as well
as boarding houses and backpackers' hostels.
URA
had been receiving more applications for new hotels, boarding houses
and backpackers' hostels, including proposals to change the use of sites
not zoned for hotel use, and had implemented the change because it felt
that "such uses should not dominate and displace other commercial
activities in (commercial) areas".
The
new policy affects the Outram, Rochor, Downtown Core and Singapore
River Planning areas - which include a big chunk of Chinatown and Little
India shophouses. URA will also not allow such proposals outside the
central area.
Akshay
Kulkarni, regional director of hospitality, South & Southeast Asia,
for Cushman & Wakefield, echoed Chesterton's views on the imminent
hotel room shortage - particularly in the mid-market and upscale
segments - as well as a need for more supply of hotel-zoned sites.
"Unfortunately,
most of the sites that were released in the recent past have been so
expensive that they don't make sense for building anything except luxury
hotels.
"Luxury
hotels have done fairly well in the Singapore market over the last
couple of years, but eventually I think there will be a need for more
upscale and mid-market hotels. That will be the need of the hour," he
said.
However,
Margaret Heng, executive director at Singapore Hotel Association (SHA),
expressed surprise at Chesterton's call for more hotel-zoned sites to
be released.
She
said: "According to the Singapore Tourism Board (STB), 12,200 hotel
rooms are coming onstream until 2018, which is a healthy pipeline. I
don't foresee any shortage.
"The
reason why URA might have tapered its hotel site supply could be
because of the slight slowdown in visitor arrivals now. It could be
cautiousness on their part as they monitor the market."
Visitor
arrivals in Singapore slipped 2.8 per cent to 7.5 million in the first
half of 2014 as the number of Chinese visitors slumped 30 per cent. This
was partly due to the disappearance of Malaysia Airlines flight MH370
in March this year as well as political tensions in Thailand. Chinese
tourists usually travel to Malaysia, Singapore and Thailand together as a
multi-destination tour.
In
its report, Chesterton said it expects the average room rates of hotels
to increase, due to the curb on supply and a consequent restriction on
the number of potential competitors.
"Existing
hostels and hotels located in these planning areas would also see an
increase in their capital values over time, with demand from investors
seeking good yields," it said.
As
it is, the influx of tourists coming to Singapore this month for the
Formula 1 Singapore Grand Prix will put additional pressure on current
hotel occupancies and room rates. Likewise for October, which will
likely see a spillover from those who choose not to travel the month
prior due to the event, Chesterton's executive director of hotels,
capital markets and valuation Chee Hok Yean said.
According
to her calculations, some 9,500 rooms are expected to come onstream
from now until 2018 - a difference of about 3,000 compared to STB's
estimate - but she could not reconcile the difference between the two
statistics.
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